Climate Change Implications for Indonesian Agriculture: A Systematic Literature Review

Authors

  • Trista Meilanie Universitas Sriwijaya
  • Hamdi Akhsan Universitas Sriwijaya
  • Kistiono Universitas Sriwijaya

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.29303/goescienceed.v7i3.1585

Keywords:

Climate Change, Rising Global Temperatures, Food Security, Indonesia’s Agricultural Sector, Mitigation of Greenhouse Gas Emissions

Abstract

Climate change is becoming an increasing threat to the food security of Indonesia, as it affects agricultural systems, changes the rainfall, raises sea levels, and intensifies extreme weather events. Conducted in the PRISMA protocol, this Review synthesizes the empirical evidence provided by 32 peer-reviewed articles, screened out of a preliminary set of 320 articles, published in 2020-25 in Google Scholar, Sinta, and ScienceDirect and in DOAJ. It is demonstrated that even a 1-2degC rise in temperature can lead to a 25 percent drop in national output of rice, salt intrusion along the coastlines can lower it by approximately 30 percent. Even though farmers have been engaging in different local adaptation responses such as reworking the planting calendars, they are usually stifled by lack of access to climate information, financial support, and technology. Among the mitigation alternatives, the Alternate Wetting and Drying (AWD) technique, 4R nutrient management, and peatland rehabilitation can be singled out as one of the most promising solutions to this issue as they allow mitigating greenhouse gas emissions and enhancing the agroecosystem resilience at the same time. This review suggests the incorporation of holistic adaptation and mitigation policies in national policies, institutional capacity building, and faster breeding and spreading of stress-resistant Plant varieties that can endure climatic change.

References

Abbass, K., Qasim, M. Z., Song, H., Murshed, M., Mahmood, H., & Younis, I. (2022). A review of the global climate change impacts, adaptation, and sustainable mitigation measures. Environmental science and pollution research international, 29(28), 42539. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-022-19718-6

Akiyama, H. (2024). Methane and nitrous oxide emissions from agricultural fields in japan and mitigation options: a review. Soil science and plant nutrition, 70(2), 79–87. https://doi.org/10.1080/00380768.2023.2298782

Akter, A., Khalifa, M., & Sualihu, M. A. (2025). Diversified firms and corporate labor policy: the role of managerial equity incentives. International review of economics & finance, 98, 103893. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.iref.2025.103893

Anapalli, S. S., Pinnamaneni, S. R., Reddy, K. N., Wagle, P., & Ashworth, A. J. (2023). Eddy covariance assessment of alternate wetting and drying floodwater management on rice methane emissions. Heliyon, 9(4), e14696. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e14696

Ansari, A., Pranesti, A., Telaumbanua, M., Alam, T., Taryono, Wulandari, R. A., Nugroho, B. D. A., & Supriyanta. (2023). Evaluating the effect of climate change on rice production in indonesia using multimodelling approach. Heliyon, 9(9). https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e19639

Barbieri, L., Bittner, C., Wollenberg, E., & Adair, E. C. (2024). Climate change adaptation and mitigation in agriculture: a review of the evidence for synergies and tradeoffs. Environmental research letters, 19(1), 013005. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ad1629

Bhatnagar, S., Chaudhary, R., Sharma, S., Janjhua, Y., Thakur, P., Sharma, P., & Keprate, A. (2024). Exploring the dynamics of climate-smart agricultural practices for sustainable resilience in a changing climate. Environmental and sustainability indicators, 24, 100535. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.indic.2024.100535

Bibi, F., & Rahman, A. (2023). An overview of climate change impacts on agriculture and their mitigation strategies. Agriculture (switzerland), 13(8), 1508. https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture13081508/s1

Bolan, S., Padhye, L. P., Jasemizad, T., Govarthanan, M., Karmegam, N., Wijesekara, H., Amarasiri, D., Hou, D., Zhou, P., Biswal, B. K., Balasubramanian, R., Wang, H., Siddique, K. H. M., Rinklebe, J., Kirkham, M. B., & Bolan, N. (2024). Impacts of climate change on the fate of contaminants through extreme weather events. Science of the total environment, 909, 168388. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.168388

Colozza, D., Guo, I., Sukotjo, S. W., Padmita, A. C., Galera, R. G., Sulastri, E., Wikanestri, I., & Ndiaye, M. (2025). The impact of climate change on child nutrition in indonesia: a conceptual framework and scoping review of the available evidence. Bmj paediatrics open, 9(1), e002980. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjpo-2024-002980

Cui, X., Bo, Y., Adalibieke, W., Winiwarter, W., Zhang, X., Davidson, E. A., Sun, Z., Tian, H., Smith, P., & Zhou, F. (2024). The global potential for mitigating nitrous oxide emissions from croplands. One earth, 7(3), 401–420. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oneear.2024.01.005

Defiyanti, S., Sari, B. N., Padilah, T. N., Karawang, U. S., Kawarang, K., & Korespondensi, P. (2024). Optimasi pertanian padi: peramalan curah hujan berbasis arima untuk penentuan waktu tanam yang tepat. Jurnal teknologi informasi dan ilmu komputer, 11(6), 1377–1384. https://doi.org/10.25126/jtiik.2024118682

Echegaray-Cabrera, I., Cruz-Villacorta, L., Ramos-Fernández, L., Bonilla-Cordova, M., Heros-Aguilar, E., & Flores Del Pino, L. (2024). Effect of alternate wetting and drying on the emission of greenhouse gases from rice fields on the northern coast of peru. Agronomy 2024, vol. 14, page 248, 14(2), 248. https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy14020248

Fan, D., He, W., Jiang, R., Song, D., Zou, G., Chen, Y., Cao, B., Wang, J., & Wang, X. (2022). Enhanced-efficiency fertilizers impact on nitrogen use efficiency and nitrous oxide emissions from an open-field vegetable system in north china. Plants, 12(1), 81. https://doi.org/10.3390/plants12010081

Filonchyk, M., Peterson, M. P., Zhang, L., Hurynovich, V., & He, Y. (2024). Greenhouse gases emissions and global climate change: examining the influence of co2, ch4, and n2o. Science of the total environment, 935, 173359. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.173359

Furtak, K., & Wolińska, A. (2023). The impact of extreme weather events as a consequence of climate change on the soil moisture and on the quality of the soil environment and agriculture – a review. Catena, 231, 107378. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2023.107378

Gao, R., Zhuo, L., Duan, Y., Yan, C., Yue, Z., Zhao, Z., & Wu, P. (2024). Effects of alternate wetting and drying irrigation on yield, water-saving, and emission reduction in rice fields: a global meta-analysis. Agricultural and forest meteorology, 353, 110075. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.110075

Grados, D., Kraus, D., Haas, E., Butterbach-Bahl, K., Olesen, J. E., & Abalos, D. (2024). Common agronomic adaptation strategies to climate change may increase soil greenhouse gas emission in northern europe. Agricultural and forest meteorology, 349, 109966. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2024.109966

Grigorieva, E., Livenets, A., & Stelmakh, E. (2023). Adaptation Of Agriculture To Climate Change: A Scoping Review. Climate 2023, Vol. 11, Page 202, 11(10), 202. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli11100202

Grohs, M., Giacomini, S. J., Da Rosa, C. A., Neu, G. R. F., Dorneles, A. B., Lüdtke, F. L., & Mc Mannis, G. S. (2024). Seasonal and annual methane and nitrous oxide emissions affected by tillage and cover crops in flood-irrigated rice. Agriculture, ecosystems & environment, 359, 108747. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agee.2023.108747

Hassan, M. U., Aamer, M., Mahmood, A., Awan, M. I., Barbanti, L., Seleiman, M. F., Bakhsh, G., Alkharabsheh, H. M., Babur, E., Shao, J., Rasheed, A., & Huang, G. (2022). Management strategies to mitigate n2o emissions in agriculture. Life, 12(3), 439. https://doi.org/10.3390/life12030439

Iklim, P., Dampaknya, D., Lingkungan, P. K., Agnesia, Y., & Fitri, J. A. (2025). Perubahan iklim dan dampaknya pada kesehatan lingkungan. Biomedical and environmental health technology, 2(1), 19–25. https://doi.org/10.35328/fe7x8s11

Irham, I., Fachrista, I. A., Masyhuri, M., & Suryantini, A. (2022). Climate change adaptation strategies by indonesian vegetable farmers: comparative study of organic and conventional farmers. The scientific world journal, 2022, 3590769. https://doi.org/10.1155/2022/3590769

Ishfaq, M., Farooq, M., Zulfiqar, U., Hussain, S., Akbar, N., Nawaz, A., & Anjum, S. A. (2020). Alternate wetting and drying: a water-saving and ecofriendly rice production system. Agricultural water management, 241, 106363. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2020.106363

Karolinoerita, V., Annisa Yusuf, W., & Penelitian Pertanian Lahan Rawa, B. (2020). Salinisasi lahan dan permasalahannya di indonesia. Jurnal sumberdaya lahan, 14(2), 91–99. https://doi.org/10.21082/jsdl.v14n2.2020.91-99

Khairulbahri, M. (2021). Analyzing the impacts of climate change on rice supply in west nusa tenggara, indonesia. Heliyon, 7(12), e08515. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.heliyon.2021.e08515

Li, L., Awada, T., Shi, Y., Jin, V. L., & Kaiser, M. (2024). Global greenhouse gas emissions from agriculture: pathways to sustainable reductions. Global change biology, 31(1), e70015. https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.70015

Li, S., & Tasnady, D. (2023). Biochar for soil carbon sequestration: current knowledge, mechanisms, and future perspectives. C 2023, vol. 9, page 67, 9(3), 67. https://doi.org/10.3390/c9030067

Liu, H., Zeng, B., Zhao, J., Yan, S., Wan, J., & Cao, Z. (2023). Genetic research progress: heat tolerance in rice. International journal of molecular sciences, 24(8), 7140. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijms24087140/s1

Lynch, J., Cain, M., Frame, D., & Pierrehumbert, R. (2021). Agriculture’s contribution to climate change and role in mitigation is distinct from predominantly fossil co2-emitting sectors. Frontiers in sustainable food systems, 4, 518039. https://doi.org/10.3389/fsufs.2020.518039/bibtex

Mirzabaev, A., Bezner Kerr, R., Hasegawa, T., Pradhan, P., Wreford, A., Cristina Tirado Von Der Pahlen, M., & Gurney-Smith, H. (2023). severe climate change risks to food security and nutrition. climate risk management, 39, 100473. Https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2022.100473

Mo, B., Mangena, P., Yaacob, J. S., Rasila, S., Rasli, A. M., Ja, L., Js, Y., Sra, R., Je, E., & Ha, E. (2023). Mitigating the repercussions of climate change on diseases affecting important crop commodities in southeast asia, for food security and environmental sustainability—a review. Frontiers in sustainable food systems, 6, 1030540. https://doi.org/10.3389/fsufs.2022.1030540

Murdiyarso, D., Swails, E., Hergoualc’h, K., Bhomia, R., & Sasmito, S. D. (2024). Refining greenhouse gas emission factors for indonesian peatlands and mangroves to meet ambitious climate targets. Proceedings of the national academy of sciences of the united states of america, 121(17), e2307219121. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2307219121

Musa, S. F. P. D., & Ariff Lim, S. (2025). Revitalising agriculture through climate change mitigation: a systematic literature review on smart technologies and sustainable practices. International journal of climate change strategies and management, 17(1), 483–501. https://doi.org/10.1108/ijccsm-05-2024-0071/full/pdf

Noviana, I., Haryati, Y., Sari, R., & Sunandar, N. (2021). Adaptation to climate change by using drought tolerant and early maturing rice varieties in majalengka regency. Iop conference series: earth and environmental science, 648(1). https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/648/1/012118

Novita, N., Asyhari, A., Ritonga, R. P., Gangga, A., Anshari, G. Z., Jupesta, J., Bowen, J. C., Lestari, N. S., Kauffman, J. B., Hoyt, A. M., Perryman, C. R., Albar, I., Putra, C. A. S., Adinugroho, W. C., Winarno, B., Castro, M., Yeo, S., Budiarna, T., Yuono, E., & Sianipar, V. C. (2024). Strong climate mitigation potential of rewetting oil palm plantations on tropical peatlands. Science of the total environment, 952, 175829. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.175829

Oelviani, R., Adiyoga, W., Bakti, I. G. M. Y., Suhendrata, T., Malik, A., Chanifah, C., Samijan, S., Sahara, D., Sutanto, H. A., Wulanjari, M. E., Utomo, B., Susila, A., Jatuningtyas, R. K., & Sihombing, Y. (2023). Climate change driving salinity: an overview of vulnerabilities, adaptations, and challenges for indonesian agriculture. Weather, climate, and society, 16(1), 29–49. https://doi.org/10.1175/wcas-d-23-0025.1

Oishy, M. N., Shemonty, N. A., Fatema, S. I., Mahbub, S., Mim, E. L., Hasan Raisa, M. B., & Anik, A. H. (2025). Unravelling the effects of climate change on the soil-plant-atmosphere interactions: a critical review. Soil & environmental health, 3(1), 100130. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.seh.2025.100130

Okolie, C. C., Ogunleye, O. T., Danso-Abbeam, G., Ogundeji, A. A., & Restás, Á. (2024). Smallholder farmers’ coping and adaptation strategies to climate change: evidence from a bibliometric analysis. Environmental and sustainability indicators, 23, 100451. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.indic.2024.100451

Omokaro, G. O., Kornev, K. P., Nafula, Z. S., Chikukula, A. A., Osayogie, O. G., & Efeni, O. S. (2025). Biochar for sustainable soil management: enhancing soil fertility, plant growth and climate resilience. Farming system, 3(4), 100167. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.farsys.2025.100167

Page, M. J., Mckenzie, J. E., Bossuyt, P. M., Boutron, I., Hoffmann, T. C., Mulrow, C. D., Shamseer, L., Tetzlaff, J. M., Akl, E. A., Brennan, S. E., Chou, R., Glanville, J., Grimshaw, J. M., Hróbjartsson, A., Lalu, M. M., Li, T., Loder, E. W., Mayo-Wilson, E., Mcdonald, S., … Moher, D. (2021). The prisma 2020 statement: an updated guideline for reporting systematic reviews. Bmj, 372. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj.n71

Pratiwi, R. E. (2025). Analisis spasial pengaruh restorasi terhadap dinamika kebakaran lahan gambut kabupaten ogan komering ilir di khg sungai burnai - sungai sibumbung. Journal of syntax literate, 10(2), 1179. https://doi.org/10.36418/syntax-literate.v10i2.44820

Purify, A., Teknik Elektronika Pertahanan, P., Militer, A., Kusman, A., Widodo, S., & Silitonga, F. (2024). Perubahan iklim dan risiko keamanan nasional: kajian mengenai kesiapsiagaan pertahanan indonesia. Jurnal elektrosista, 12(1), 1–11. https://doi.org/10.63824/jtep.v12i1.251

Raj, S., Roodbar, S., Brinkley, C., & Wolfe, D. W. (2022). Food security and climate change: differences in impacts and adaptation strategies for rural communities in the global south and north. Frontiers in sustainable food systems, 5, 691191. https://doi.org/10.3389/fsufs.2021.691191/bibtex

Rivera, J. E., & Chará, J. (2021). Ch4 And N2o Emissions From Cattle Excreta: A Review Of Main Drivers And Mitigation Strategies In Grazing Systems. Frontiers In Sustainable Food Systems, 5, 657936. https://doi.org/10.3389/fsufs.2021.657936/full

Shah, H., Hellegers, P., & Siderius, C. (2021). Climate risk to agriculture: a synthesis to define different types of critical moments. Climate risk management, 34, 100378. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2021.100378

Subedi, B., Poudel, A., & Aryal, S. (2023). The impact of climate change on insect pest biology and ecology: implications for pest management strategies, crop production, and food security. Journal of agriculture and food research, 14, 100733. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jafr.2023.100733

Suriadi, A., Mardiana, Sa’dyah, H., & Nazam, M. (2022). Feasibility of water-saving technology to improve shallot productivity in dryland of eastern indonesia. Iop conference series: earth and environmental science, 1107(1), 012072. https://doi.org/10.1088/1755-1315/1107/1/012072

Surmaini, E., Sarvina, Y., Susanti, E., Widiarta, I. N., Misnawati, M., Suciantini, S., Fanggidae, Y. R., Rahmini, R., & Dewi, E. R. (2024). Climate change and the future distribution of brown planthopper in indonesia: a projection study. Journal of the saudi society of agricultural sciences, 23(2), 130–141. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jssas.2023.10.002

Suwanmaneepong, S., Kultawanich, K., Khurnpoon, L., Sabaijai, P. E., Cavite, H. J., Llones, C., Lepcha, N., & Kerdsriserm, C. (2023). Alternate wetting and drying as water-saving technology: an adoption intention in the perspective of good agricultural practices (gap) suburban rice farmers in thailand. Water 2023, vol. 15, page 402, 15(3), 402. https://doi.org/10.3390/w15030402

Tuwaidan, N., Sondakh, E. B., & Kaunang Fakultas Peternakan Universitas Sam Ratulangi Manado, C. L. (2024). Strategi mitigasi gas metan pada ternak ruminansia. Review. Zootec, 44(1), 148–173. https://ejournal.unsrat.ac.id/v3/index.php/zootek/article/view/54171

Xu, Y., Krafft, T., & Martens, P. (2024). The interaction between climate change and marine fisheries: review, challenges, and gaps. Ocean & coastal management, 259, 107479. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2024.107479

Yang, Y., Tilman, D., Jin, Z., Smith, P., Barrett, C. B., Zhu, Y. G., Burney, J., D’odorico, P., Fantke, P., Fargione, J., Finlay, J. C., Rulli, M. C., Sloat, L., Van Groenigen, K. J., West, P. C., Ziska, L., Michalak, A. M., Lobell, D. B., Clark, M., … Zhuang, M. (2024). Climate change exacerbates the environmental impacts of agriculture. Science, 385(6713). https://doi.org/10.1126/science.adn3747

Yetgin, A., Srivastava, R. K., Panda, S., & Rath, S. (2025). Plant breeding strategies for sustainable agriculture in climate change context: a literature review. 359–380. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-95-0389-6_17

Yuan, X., Li, S., Chen, J., Yu, H., Yang, T., Wang, C., Huang, S., Chen, H., & Ao, X. (2024). Impacts of global climate change on agricultural production: a comprehensive review. Agronomy 2024, vol. 14, page 1360, 14(7), 1360. https://doi.org/10.3390/agronomy14071360

Yusriadi, Y., Cahaya, A., & Hamzah, F. (2024). Farmer adaptation strategies through local farming systems in enrekang, indonesia. Scientific reports, 14(1), 1–14. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-72953-4;subjmeta

Zhao, J. ;, Liu, D. ;, Huang, R., Liu, J., Dong, L., Cheng, K., Zhao, J., Liu, D., & Huang, R. (2023). A review of climate-smart agriculture: recent advancements, challenges, and future directions. Sustainability 2023, vol. 15, page 3404, 15(4), 3404. https://doi.org/10.3390/su15043404

Downloads

Published

2026-06-27

How to Cite

Meilanie, T., Akhsan, H., & Kistiono. (2026). Climate Change Implications for Indonesian Agriculture: A Systematic Literature Review. Jurnal Pendidikan, Sains, Geologi, Dan Geofisika (GeoScienceEd Journal), 7(3), 2801–2812. https://doi.org/10.29303/goescienceed.v7i3.1585